The chief economist of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: The growth rate of strategic emerging industries in the 12th and 15th years is 24%

Zhou Zixue, chief economist of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated on May 22 at the 8th MBA Annual Meeting of Beihang that in order to achieve the development goals of China's strategic emerging industries proposed by the State Council, the strategic emerging industries during the 12th Five-Year Plan period will achieve 24.1% of the year. The average growth rate will achieve an average annual growth rate of 21.3% from 2016 to 2020. From the perspective of China's existing industrial base, a new generation of information technology will be the focus of future development.

The new generation of information technology is the key "State Council's decision on accelerating the cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries." It is proposed that by 2015, the value-added ratio of strategic emerging industries to the GDP will reach about 8%; by 2020, the strategy will be The value-added ratio of the newly emerging industries to the GDP is about 15%.

Zhou Zixue said that in accordance with the development speed and scale of China's GDP in recent years, it is estimated that the value-added of strategic emerging industries in 2015 will be about 4.3 trillion yuan, and will reach 11.4 trillion yuan in 2020. To achieve the above-mentioned development goals proposed by the State Council, it is expected that the strategic emerging industries will achieve an average annual growth rate of 24.1% from 2011 to 2015, and will achieve an average annual growth rate of 21.3% from 2016 to 2020.

Judging from the stage of development and level of advancement of emerging industries, it is expected that by 2020 energy-saving and environmental protection, a new generation of information technology, biology, and high-end equipment manufacturing industries will become the pillar industries of the national economy, and new energy, new materials, and new energy automotive industries. It will become the leading industry in the national economy.

Zhou Zixue said that as a pillar industry of the national economy, the development speed of the new generation of information technology, biology, high-end equipment manufacturing and other industries will be higher than the above indicators.

In the four pillars of strategic emerging industries, a new generation of information technology will be the focus of the future. From the perspective of industrial development, China’s IT industry has formed certain competitive advantages in the world: large-scale industries, cultivating a number of larger companies, forming a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises, building a large number of industrial bases, and developing enthusiasm in various regions. Extremely high. From the perspective of market space, new applications continue to emerge, and product upgrades speed up, and the Internet is becoming more and more popular. The continued deepening of the integration of “two industries” will still bring immense growth potential to the IT industry.

From the perspective of industry relevance, the relationship between IT industry and other strategic industries is very close. Energy-saving and environmental protection, biological needs a lot of application of IT technology to achieve, solar energy in the new energy industry itself is also an IT product, high-end equipment is the core component of IT products and technologies, is also China's equipment manufacturing industry, one of the weakest links The batteries and electronic controls of new energy vehicles also belong to electronic products.

The production and demand sides also promoted Zhou Zixue to point out that from the policy orientation of strategic emerging industries, it is necessary to simultaneously promote industrial development from both the production end and the consumer end. From the perspective of production, it is necessary to accelerate the definition of strategic emerging industries, specify the standards and directories for strategic emerging industries, increase the support for fiscal and taxation financial policies, guide and encourage social investment, and support the rational distribution of industries.

From the demand side, it is necessary to actively cultivate the market and create a good market environment, including organizing and implementing major application demonstration projects to support market expansion and business model innovation.

Zhou Zixue stated that in order to continue to play its role in promoting the development of strategic emerging industries under the policy of expanding domestic demand, in response to the international financial crisis, China introduced a series of policies to stimulate domestic demand, including household appliances and automobiles, to expand urban and rural consumption and promote industry. Structural adjustments have worked well.

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